04 November, 2008

Plan to divide Taliban, Qaeda likely to fail

WE DO NOT AGREE WITH ALL OR SOME OF THESE ASSERTIONS.IT HAS TO BE RECOGNISED THAT CIA AND ISI AND SAUDI INTELLIGENCE WERE THE FATHERS OF THE TEST TUBE BABY CALLED MUJAHIDS.SIMILARLY THE TALIBAN HAD MANY FATHERS AND AL QAEDA WAS ONE OF THEM.AL QAEDA IS THE NUCLEUS WHILE THE TALIBANS ARE ONE OF ITS MANY LEGIONS OR DIVISIONS.

A BETTER US OPTION WOULD BE TO LET THE TALIBAN COME BACK IN POWER.AS STATE ACTORS THEY WOULD DEFINITELY COME IN CONFLICT WITH ALL THEIR NEIGHBOURS EXCEPT PAKISTAN AND IN THE PROCESS WILL BE CONTAINED,ALTHOUGH NOT DESTROYED.

WE HAD WARGAMED THIS SCENARIO AND WE , SOME FRIENDS HAD CONCLUDED THAT IN A FUTURE AFGHAN CIVIL WAR,RUSSIAM,TAJIKISTANI,INDIAN AND EVEN IRANIAN DIVISIONS MAY BE FIGHTING AGAINST TALIBAN AS ALLIES OF NORTHERN ALLIANCE.



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Plan to divide Taliban, Qaeda likely to fail

By SHAIQ HUSSAIN

ISLAMABAD �" With senior US military and civilian officials engaged in hectic consultations with Pakistani authorities on new American plan to alienate Taliban from al-Qaeda, Pakistan’s security circles fear that this strategy could fail and resultantly further destabilize the country.

General David Petraeus, new chief of United States Central Command (CENTCOM), who concluded his two-day visit to Pakistan on Tuesday, discussed in detail with Pakistani leaders, the US plan of turning the tribesmen living on both the sides of Afghan border against the al-Qaeda and also to reach out to ‘moderate’ militants in the ranks of Taliban.

General Petraeus is given credit by the Bush administration for saving the United States from defeat in Iraq by successfully applying the same plan against al-Qaeda with the help of Iraqi tribesmen. An official here seeking anonymity said that at present the new US plan was in the initial phase of implementation in Bajaur Agency and in some other tribal areas of Pakistan whereas Taliban were also being contacted by the Afghan authorities in their territory.

“However, the security circles here are not sure about the success of Petraeus plan because they believe that Iraqi conditions are totally different from those in Pakistan and Iraq,” he said.

First of all, he said al-Qaeda was a new phenomenon in Iraq but in South Asia, it had been operating for decades now.

“As a result of close interaction spanning over years with local tribesmen and especially the Taliban, the al-Qaeda militants have been able to forge close ties with them and hence it is not easy to divide them,” the official said.

He said that porous Afghan border was another main reason for the likely failure of the US plan as the al-Qaeda and hardcore Taliban militants could easily shift their locations in case they felt any threat from the local tribesmen on both the sides of the frontier.

Moreover, he said that influential Taliban commanders like Jalaluddin Haqqani and his son Siraj Haqqani, who were once considered to be Pakistani assets, were now more close to al-Qaeda leadership and it would be a daunting task to break that bond and union.

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